With only seven days remaining until the New Patriotic Party (NPP) elects its flagbearer for the 2028 general elections, a new survey has placed former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia in a commanding position to secure the mandate of the party delegates.
The final predictive model released by Global Info Analytics on Friday, January 23, 2026, suggests that the ‘Bawumia Factor’ remains the dominant force in the internal race, despite a spirited and often aggressive challenge from the grassroots maverick Kennedy Agyapong.
The poll, which is the culmination of a massive data-gathering exercise conducted between December 29, 2025, and January 23, 2026, paints a clear picture of the delegate landscape across all 16 regions.
According to the Executive Director of Global Info Analytics, Mussa Dankwa, the predictive model currently stands as follows:
- Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia: 57%
- Kennedy Ohene Agyapong: 28%
- Dr. Bryan Acheampong (DBA): 13%
- Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum: 2%
- Kwabena Agyepong: 0%
Methodology: 10,000 Voices Across Ghana
To ensure a high degree of accuracy, the survey utilised computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) to reach 10,133 respondents.
The sampling was not restricted to urban centres; it spanned 272 constituencies, providing a national snapshot.
The pollsters claim an extraordinary 99.9% confidence level, with a razor-thin margin of error of ±1.57%.
For the final predictive model—which factors in historical delegate behaviour and undecided voters—the margin of error is set at ±3.0%.
The most significant shift in the January data is the rise of Dr. Bryan Acheampong.
Moving from single digits in late 2025 to 13% in the final week, the Abetifi MP and former Minister for Food and Agriculture appears to have successfully branded himself as the unity candidate.
Regional Strongholds and Battlegrounds
Global Info Analytics suggests that Dr Bawumia’s lead is anchored in a near-total sweep of the five Northern regions and a significant majority in the North East and Upper West.
However, Kennedy Agyapong continues to hold a competitive edge in parts of the Central Region and Ashanti Region, where his showdown message resonates with delegates who feel marginalised by the party’s central establishment.
